Thursday, February 18, 2010

2/18/10 - SPX EOD Update [10:00 PM PST Update]

[10:00 PM PST Update]



Just some cool charts to highlight some Fibonacci tools and a confluence at 61.8.

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[9:30 PM PST Update]
Primary Count


I just wanted to re-post this chart at the top here. I mentioned the other night that price was heading back to re-test the long term bear trendline.

Upon further review of my chart, I notice my trendline was off just a tad bit. I made the correct adjustments and low and behold, price kissed it today along with other significant levels.

So I post the following reasons for a minute [ii] top below:


1. THE WAVE COUNTS LOOK COMPLETE

2. FIB RATIO OF v=.618i

3. WAVE y HIT THE TOP OF THE EW CHANNEL AS PROJECTED FROM THE w-x LINE

4. PRICE KISSES AND IS RESISTED BY THE LONG TERM BEAR TRENDLINE

5. FUTURES INDICATING A LARGE DROP AT THE OPEN IF IT HOLDS OVERNIGHT

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[8:45 PM PST Update]

Here's a more bearish view on the e-mini.

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[7:45 PM PST Update]
E-mini is down 12 pts and change now. Looks like a possible wave 5 Ending Diagonal for this first impulse down.

Apparently Asia is red all over. HK is down over 400 pts (2.25%) and Japan is down 1%.



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[3:30 PM PST]
SPX 1 Min


E-Mini

E-mini is sporting a very nice looking impulsive wave down. This was a result of the surprise move by the Feds to raise the discount rate by .25% to .75%.

Looks like the first chart below is going to be the count to go with for now. I know it's long time between now and tomorrow, but I'm pretty sure this is going to hold.

If so, it should open with a iii (black) down. Refer to the 1 Min SPX chart above.

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Still looking for a wave 5 Ending Diagonal. I think that would be fitting for this counter trend rally.

Above are the two counts I'm looking at right now. I'll take a closer look later and make the usual updates.

Gotta run for now.

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