Thursday, October 29, 2020

10/29/2020 - EOD Update

Been a little side tracked. Not too much to add other than a little clean up on the counts. Since my post on 10/12/2020, I laid out two options and I wrote:

Either: 

1. Wave 1 of (3) of five will complete all five subwaves i-ii-iii-iv-v

2. wave b of (2) as a flat is near completion and will either reverse near the all-time high here. Keep in mind, there are only three waves up off the September low so far so very much still in play.

Since then a nearly 300 point decline has occurred and with that decline, the 1st option was taken off the table. Option 2 took the pole position so now we'll have to see what type of flat plays out or potentially some type of combo corrective to complete wave (2) of [5].


SPX - 60 Min



Tuesday, October 13, 2020

10/13/2020 - EOD Update

 Wave iv or -iv is tracing out. Would be a little quick if it is considered complete so will keep an eye out for some sideways chop here.


15 Min


Monday, October 12, 2020

10/12/2020 - EOD Update

 Wave iii kept extending. Very possible it completed on today's high with wave iv beginning with the pullback today. The alternate is that wave -iii is not quite complete yet.


15 Min

Getting close to the all time high. So we now have to keep an eye out for the two best options. 

Either: 

 1. Wave 1 of (3) of five will complete all five subwaves i-ii-iii-iv-v

2. wave b of (2) as a flat is near completion and will either reverse near the all-time high here. Keep in mind, there are only three waves up off the September low so far so very much still in play.

60 Min


Friday, October 9, 2020

10/9/2020 - EOD Update

 Looks like we still have the continuation of my wave iii. 


15 Min

60 Min 


Thursday, October 8, 2020

10/8/2020 - EOD Update

Not much to add. The primary count, as posted the other day, is still intact. A wave iii was expected for the primary and so far it appears to be playing out, albeit in a wedgie looking pattern. The alternate posted the day is now invalidated. 

The new alternate option is a potential leading diagonal wave, which would accommodate the wedgie look, may be in play as highlighted by the orange count below on the 15 min chart. If this is a leading diagonal, wave v cannot exceed 3462.73, otherwise it will be longer than wave iii, which would be a rule violation.

The inverted head and shoulders pattern continues to play out. I now have two areas for the neckline. They essentially imply the general target area near 3600.

15 Min


60 Min

 

Sunday, October 4, 2020

10/4/2020 - Update

Obviously the president's COVID-19 infection spooked the market. SMH at the hypocrisy and lack of transparency playing out.

Not too much change to the count options recently presented. The triangle I was tracking has failed, however there is still room for a larger triangle. 

At the moment here are the counts:

Primary: Wave ii completed with a wave iii higher in store. This is invalidated with the break of 3323.69

Alternate: Wave ii is forming a larger flat with wave c of ii to come below. Wave c of ii = wave a of ii at approximately 3290. This option continues to build on the inverted head and shoulders pattern and would result in a more symmetric right shoulder. 


15 Min


60 Min

 

Thursday, October 1, 2020

10/1/2020 - EOD Update

 Looks like the market is triangulating up top here. So either my wave ii is playing out some sideways combo corrective or this is some type of wave 4 that I am missing. Either way, this is implying a possible move higher. 

Daily MACD buy signal triggered today. 

15 Min

Bigger picture all this could be setting up a larger wave (2) flat. We'll know more if 3588 caps the move and the wave structure looks like a three wave affair. 


60 Min