Friday, May 8, 2020

5/8/2020 - AM Update

Still waiting for wave b of (2) to complete and still keeping an eye on the more bullish alternate.

SPX - 60 Min

Tuesday, May 5, 2020

5/5/2020 - AM Update

Wave b of (2) complete or nearly complete? Note the bullish alternate is still in play so don't be too committed to the bearish wave c of (2) play just yet.

SPX - 60 Min

Friday, May 1, 2020

5/1/2020 - EOD Update

Looks like the market confirmed the end of the first five waves off the COVID-19 low to start the month off.

On my 60 min chart below, I have that marked off as wave (1). I have cleaned up some of the other counts and will treat these first five waves as wave 'a' for the bearish alternate.

The bullish alternate is that wave 1 of 5 completed. Wave 2 of 5 is underway.  This option is ruled out with the break of 2727.10; the wave 2 overlap into 1 violation.

Today's decline so far looks like five waves may be counted. So from the top of this wave structure we'll go with wave a of (2).

Targets for wave (2)  is a wide range based off past support and Fib retracement levels. I'm keeping an eye on the 2600-2800 range. I'll have a better idea for projections once wave a of (2) and wave b of (2) complete.

SPX - 60 Min


SPX - Daily
Here is the DOW. Five waves up.

DJI - 15 Min

5/1/2020 - AM UPDATE

One last hurdle to confirm wave (5) is complete. As mentioned previously, 2844.90 is the level to break to confirm.

The bullish alternate is that that wave 1 of (5) completed with that break. This option would be invalidated with a break below.

The primary bearish alternate is a w-x-y. Working on wave b of y now.




SPX - 60 Min