Stock Market Analysis With The Elliott Wave Principle -Dow Jones, S&P 500, Russell 2000, Nasdaq and FX. All charts and commentary on this site are strictly the opinions of the author(s) and are for recreational purposes only. In no way should this be construed as trading advice or a recommendation for investing. See disclaimer at the bottom of the page.
Thursday, December 3, 2009
12/3 - SPX Options
Two options I'm thinking about right now.
For the bearish count, do I truly believe we have seen the conclusion of P2? I'm not completely sold, however, I do feel we may be seeing a trend change in the works. Perhaps it's just a wave c of a Minor B wave down before a final Minor C push higher to complete it all. I guess we will see.
On the bullish front, perhaps minute wave [v] of Minor C is forming a leading diagonal. By this count, I count waves 1 and 2 complete with wave 3 on tap tomorrow bouncing off the lower ascending trendline. A break below that trendline and I'll rule this count out.
Kenny mentions an expanding diagonal count for the DOW, which I also like. Will have to keep an eye out for this as well.
I have also included a SPY chart which highlights a few lines of support and the relationship of price with each successive MACD cross.
The wedge is tightening up from the orange one to the black one. I believe a break down below the black would be significant since this is a longer term trend line.
If price behaves the same way it has with each MACD cross, then I would be expecting a move to the purple trendline. Notice that would place price below the black and orange line and would fill the gap on 11/9.
Last but not least, a look at the DOW chart. Price has broken out of the red channel representing what I have has the final Minor 5th wave to complete Intermediate (C). Let's see where she heads.
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